Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.001045 0.001191 0.001339 0.001499 0.001667 0.001837 0.002022
2025-06-15 0.000873 0.001087 0.001310 0.001558 0.001826 0.002103 0.002410
2025-06-22 0.000679 0.000934 0.001212 0.001530 0.001880 0.002250 0.002667
2025-06-29 0.000546 0.000835 0.001160 0.001543 0.001972 0.002432 0.002957
2025-07-06 0.000490 0.000816 0.001193 0.001646 0.002160 0.002717 0.003357
2025-07-13 0.000376 0.000713 0.001120 0.001621 0.002201 0.002836 0.003573
2025-07-20 0.000265 0.000599 0.001025 0.001563 0.002198 0.002902 0.003727
2025-07-27 0.000216 0.000560 0.001016 0.001604 0.002305 0.003090 0.004014
2025-08-03 0.000155 0.000494 0.000966 0.001591 0.002346 0.003200 0.004211
2025-08-10 0.000084 0.000395 0.000865 0.001508 0.002301 0.003208 0.004291
2025-08-17 0.000045 0.000332 0.000806 0.001475 0.002312 0.003277 0.004437
2025-08-24 0.000013 0.000261 0.000728 0.001410 0.002281 0.003295 0.004523
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000204 0.000674 0.001393 0.002329 0.003431 0.004775
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000180 0.000673 0.001448 0.002469 0.003678 0.005159
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000128 0.000614 0.001419 0.002502 0.003800 0.005399
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000097 0.000585 0.001431 0.002586 0.003981 0.005709
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000096 0.000616 0.001529 0.002782 0.004298 0.006178
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000061 0.000566 0.001505 0.002817 0.004420 0.006418
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000028 0.000498 0.001449 0.002807 0.004484 0.006589
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000020 0.000494 0.001488 0.002923 0.004702 0.006939
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000007 0.000458 0.001475 0.002967 0.004830 0.007182
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000386 0.001395 0.002917 0.004840 0.007283
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000344 0.001363 0.002930 0.004925 0.007473